Football is an amazing sport to watch in and of itself. You can tell by the sheer amount of support it has, not to mention its vast fanbase that passionately watches the sport every year. However, if you want to make football much more enjoyable and thrilling, one thing you can do is to bet on it. Sports will always be more fun when money is involved. That said, NFL betting is not easy, just like any form of sports betting.
You won’t get far without doing your research. So before you go ahead and bet on the games, you need to learn the basic strategies first. The good news is that you’re in the right place. This is because we will be talking about some NFL betting strategies you need to know about, especially if you’re a beginner. Remember that these strategies are essential, so this article is aimed at beginners.
If you’re an experienced bettor already, then maybe you can revisit some of these strategies. You can call them fundamentals, and revisiting fundamentals is always a good thing if you’re at a loss. That said, here are some NFL betting strategies that you need to know about.
Bet Logically
It may sound cliché and obvious, but avoiding emotion is essential to remember, especially when you’re on a losing streak. But you may be surprised how many people often forget this rule. Whether it’s a favorite or a team that you hate, betting on the games based on emotions is never a good thing.
However, the thing about NFL betting is that you can also rely on the statistics. By looking at the statistics, you’ll tend to base your bets on logic, making you place smarter bets. Of course, cheering for your favorite team is all good but betting on them blindly is not a good thing to do unless you want to lose a lot of money.
Factor In the Location
Another thing that you should consider in NFL betting is the location where the games are played. Of course, this strategy is not only applicable to football but other sports as well, like basketball, volleyball, etc.
But why should we consider the location? It is because of the thing we call home field advantage. For example, the New England Patriots went 42-6 at home from 2014-2018, and the Seahawks performed well in Seattle and went 103-41 since 2003.
So what should you do? Well, you can start by comparing the team’s home vs. away records. Of course, some teams don’t do well when playing on foreign territories. For example, the San Francisco 49ers had a terrible 9-31 on the road, which was the third-worst league at that time.
That said, knowing where the team played during the previous week is an essential factor you should remember. Also, by traveling, teams suffer from the time difference. West Coast teams tend to do well when going to the Eastern Time Zone to play because they don’t have to adjust much to the time change. However, East Coast teams are at an inherent disadvantage when playing on the Pacific Coast because they suffer a 3 hour time difference.
Not only that, but some teams don’t play well indoors and vice versa. A perfect example of this is Drew Brees. His passer rating dropped from 102.5 in a dome to 90.3 when he played in an outdoor stadium.
Look at the Individual Matchups
Football is a team sport, but sometimes, individual matchups can turn the tide of a game. For example, suppose a team has a weak offensive tackle. That team would be struggling to play against a team with premier edge rushers. That said, looking at the significant skill discrepancies between players is just as important as looking at the team’s overall statistics.
The coaches are one of the most significant matchups that all NFL bettors should look into. Every coach has their own signature playstyle, but they can adjust this according to their situation. Due to this, coaches can improve and counter their opponent’s playstyle to win the game. However, not all coaches can do this, which can, of course, make them lose the game.
Monitor the Lines
If you want to maximize your overall payout, monitoring the lines every week is necessary. Lines tend to change every week, so taking advantage of them while still having much value is a good way to increase your profits.
For example, popular teams like the Dallas Cowboys, Green Bay Packers, and the New England Patriots have large fanbases. They’re public teams, and they are often favored heavily in NFL Super Bowl betting with FanDuel.
You can use this fact to your advantage by betting against the public. If these popular teams are matched up to a less popular team, the value of the lines of the less popular team will often skyrocket.
You can take advantage of this value to increase your payout during this time. Sure, they may have a slight chance of winning against a much stronger opponent, but when they do, your payout will be significant.
Final Words
These are the fundamental strategies you have to know in NFL betting, especially if you’re just starting in football betting. Of course, these tips don’t guarantee you to win, but they still give you a significant chance of winning and increasing your payout. So if you want to start winning and enjoying the game more, follow these strategies.
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